<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD JATS (Z39.96) Journal Publishing DTD v1.3 20210610//EN" "JATS-journalpublishing1-3.dtd">
<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">btps</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Безопасность техногенных и природных систем</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Safety of Technogenic and Natural Systems</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2541-9129</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Don State Technical University</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.23947/2541-9129-2017-2-44-53</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">btps-149</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ И ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ ТЕХНОГЕННЫХ СИСТЕМ И ПРОЦЕССОВ В ЧРЕЗВЫЧАЙНЫХ СИТУАЦИЯХ</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ РИСКА ТРАВМАТИЗМА НА ПРЕДПРИЯТИЯХ МАШИНОСТРОЕНИЯ РОСТОВСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>STUDY OF RISK PREDICTION AT MECHANICAL ENGINEERING ENTERPRISES OF ROSTOV WELDER</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Плешко</surname><given-names>М. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pleshko</surname><given-names>M. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Рябова</surname><given-names>Н. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Rybova</surname><given-names>N. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Донской государственный технический университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Don State Technical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2017</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>30</day><month>06</month><year>2017</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>44</fpage><lpage>53</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Плешко М., Рябова Н., 2017</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2017</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Плешко М., Рябова Н.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Pleshko M., Rybova N.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.bps-journal.ru/jour/article/view/149">https://www.bps-journal.ru/jour/article/view/149</self-uri><abstract><p>Целью настоящей работы является  поиск методов комплексной оценки травматизма на предприятиях машиностроения Ростовской области. В работе рассматриваются основные подходы к анализу риска.  Приводятся качественные и количественные методики оценки производственного риска, классификация методов анализа и оценки риска.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The aim of this work is the search for methods of integrated assessment of occupational injuries at enterprises of mechanical engineering of Rostov region. The paper discusses the main approaches to risk analysis. It provides qualitative and quantitative methods for assessment of production risk, classification of methods of analysis and risk assessment.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Анализ</kwd><kwd>риск</kwd><kwd>производственный травматизм</kwd><kwd>расследование</kwd><kwd>системный подход</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Analysis</kwd><kwd>risk</kwd><kwd>occupational injury</kwd><kwd>investigation</kwd><kwd>systematic approach</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Зозуля, И. В. Концепции промышленной безопасности // Безопасность труда в промышленности. — 1992. — №6. — С. 2–6.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Zozulya, I.V. Kontseptsii promyshlennoy bezopasnosti. [Concepts of industrial safety.] Bezopasnost’ truda v promyshlennosti, 1992, no. 6, pp. 2-6 (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Паштова, Л. Г. Риск-менеджмент на предприятии : справочник экономиста [Электронный ресурс] / Л. Г. Паштова. — 2003. — № 5. Режим доступа : http : //www.profiz.ru/ se/5_03/864</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Pashtova, L. G. Risk-menedzhment na predpriyatii: spravochnik ekonomista. [Risk management at the enterprise: economist guide.] 2003, no. 5. Available at: http : //www.profiz.ru/ se/5_03/864 (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Тэпман, Л. Н. Риски в экономике : учеб. пособие для вузов / Л. Н. Тэпман ; под ред. проф. Швандара. — Москва : ЮНИТИ-ДАНА, 2002. — 380 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Tepman, L. N. ed. by prof. Shvandara. Riski v ekonomike: ucheb. posobie dlya vuzov. [Risks in economics: textbook for universities.] Moscow, YUNITI-DANA, 2002, 380 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Иохин, В. Я. Экономическая теория : учеб. / В. Я. Иохин. — Москва : Экономистъ, 2006. — 681 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Iokhin, V.Y. Ekonomicheskaya teoriya: ucheb. [Economic theory: textbook.] Moscow, Economist, 2006, 681 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Новиков, А. М. Методология : Словарь системы основных понятий / А. М. Новиков, Д. А. Новиков. — Москва : Либроком, 2013. — 208 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Novikov, A.M., Novikov, D.A. Metodologiya: Slovar’ sistemyosnovnykh ponyatiy. [Methodology: Glossary of basic concepts] Moscow, Librokom, 2013, 208 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Човушян, Э. А. Управление риском и устойчивое развитие : учеб. пособие для экономических вузов / Э. А. Човушян, М. А. Сидоров. — Москва : Изд-во РЭА им. Г.А. Плеханова, 2009. — 528 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Chovushyan, E.A., Sidorov, M.A. Upravlenie riskom i ustoychivoe razvitie: ucheb. posobie dlya ekonomicheskikh vuzov. [Risk management and sustainable development: textbook for economic universities.] Moscow, publ. house REA named after G. A. Plekhanov, 2009, 528 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Трубачев, Е. В. Инвестиционная стратегия [Электронный ресурс] : учеб. курс / Е. В. Трубачеев. — Москва : МИЭМП, 2010. — Режим доступа : http : //www.e-college.ru/xbooks/xbook189/book/index/index.html</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Trubachev, E.V. Investitsionnaya strategiya: ucheb. kurs. [Investment strategy: edu. course] Moscow, MIEMP, 2010, Available at: http : //www.e-college.ru/xbooks/xbook189/book/index/index.html (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Рыхтикова, Н. А. Анализ и управление рисками организации : учеб. пособие / Н. А. Рыхтикова. — Москва : ФОРУМ : ИНФРА-М, 2007. — 240 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ryhtikova, N. A. Analiz i upravlenie riskami organizatsii: ucheb. posobie. [Analysis and risk management of the organization: textbook.] Moscow, FORUM: INFRA-M, 2007, 240 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit9"><label>9</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Круглов, В. В. Искусственные нейронные сети. Теория и практика / В. В. Круглов, В. В. Борисов. — Москва : Горячая Линия-Телеком, 2002. — 382 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Kruglov, V.V., Borisov, V.V. Iskustvennye neyronnye seti. Teoriya i praktika. [Artificial neural networks. Theory and practice.] Moscow, Goryachaya Liniya-Telekom, 2002, 382 p. (in Russian).</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
