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Safety of Technogenic and Natural Systems

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ФАКТОРНАЯ ИНТЕРВАЛЬНАЯ КОНЦЕПЦИЯ ОЦЕНКИ БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ И ЗДОРОВЬЯ

https://doi.org/10.23947/2541-9129-2018-1-2-57-68

Abstract

В настоящей работе развиваются логико-вероятностный и логико-возможностный способы оценивания безопасности и обоснования здоровья в системе вида «среда — объект —
защита — субъект». В предположении о монотонности изменения эффектов действия различных вредных факторов разработана новая факторная интервальная концепция, позволяющая унифицировано описывать параметрические предпосылки происшествий с помощью интервалов восприимчивости на основе применения единой модели «воздействие — ослабление — восприимчивость». Полученные авторами зависимости для вероятностной и возможностной мер вершинных исходов позволяют рассчитывать показатели безопасности и обосновывать способы и средства защиты.

About the Authors

Ю. Есипов
Донской государственный технический университет
Russian Federation


Мохаммад Джаюси
Донской государственный технический университет
Russian Federation


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