APPLICATION OF LOGICAL-ANDPOSSIBILITY METHOD FOR RAPID ASSESSMENT OF ACCIDENT PROBABILITY IN A MULTIVARIABLE TECHNICAL SYSTEM OF THE STEEL FOUNDRY
https://doi.org/10.23947/2541-9129-2018-3-4-52-63
Abstract
In order to create a matrix of standard logical and parametric models of accidents and emergencies described in accordance with the "Model Regulations on Occupational Health and Safety Management System (OHSAS)", the paper analyzes multivariable technical system "furnace – casting – worker" of melting and casting site of the foundry. In the result, taking into account
probabilities of preconditions occurrence found by the statistical method, the authors have built logical models of accidents on the basis of which has been made the assessment of possibility measures of implementation of apical outcomes (AO) at the level of the degree of approximation. For AO given hygienic standards, a table was drawn up of intervals of influence and
susceptibility parameters values in normal and
emergency system conditions. The possibility form of function of AO implementation showing the degree of deviation of the harmful (dangerous) factor parameter from the standard values
was built.
About the Authors
Y. V. Esipov
Don State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
E. V. Shchekina
Don State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. V. Maslenskiy
Don State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
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Review
For citations:
Esipov Y.V., Shchekina E.V., Maslenskiy V.V. APPLICATION OF LOGICAL-ANDPOSSIBILITY METHOD FOR RAPID ASSESSMENT OF ACCIDENT PROBABILITY IN A MULTIVARIABLE TECHNICAL SYSTEM OF THE STEEL FOUNDRY. Safety of Technogenic and Natural Systems. 2018;(3-4):52-63. https://doi.org/10.23947/2541-9129-2018-3-4-52-63
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