FORECASTING AND PREVENTION OF LANDSCAPE FIRES IN THE ROSTOV REGION
https://doi.org/10.23947/2541-9129-2017-4-64-83
Abstract
The article is devoted to the research of causes, development characteristics, damage from fires in the Azov district of the Rostov region for the period from 2010 to 2015, and the search for opportunities for their forecasting. To achieve the aim of the research means to achieve a number of goals. In particular, it gives the characteristics of physical and geographical conditions of the Azov district, the analysis of the possibility to forecast landscape fires. The obtained data can be used for decision-making by the district administration, rural settlements and state organizations authorized to solving problems in the field of fire safety. In Conclusion, the authors formulate the results of the research. In particular, it is noted, that forecasting the number of landscape fires in the Azov district is possible, given the climatic conditions and the nature of the vegetation. To reduce the risks connected with the risk of landscape fires in the Azov district, it is first necessary to carry out preventive and administrative activities. Further research of the solution to the problems of landscape fires forecasting is relevant and promising.
About the Authors
I. А. Vashchenko
Don State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
E. S. Andreeva
Don State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
I. S. Budylski
Don State Technical University
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
1. Asylbaev, N.A., Gimaltdinov, I.K. O rasprostranenii pozhara v odnorodnom stepnom massive po naklonnoy podstilayushchey poverhnosti. [On fire propagation in a homogeneous steppe area on an inclined underlying terrain.] Tr. Instituta mekhanikin im. R.R. Mavlyutova UNTS RAN, 2012, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 26-31 (in Russian).
2. Gundar, S.V. et al. Osobennosti pozharov na bezlesnykh territoriyakh, upravlenie ikh tusheniem i profilaktikoy. [Features of fires on treeless territories, their extinction and prevention management.] Pozhary i chrezvychaynye situatsii: predotvrashchenie, likvidatsiya, 2016, no. 2, pp. 26-31 (in Russian).
3. Nekrasov, O.N. Prognozirovanie pozharoopasnoy obstanovki i skorosti rasprostraneniya lesnogo pozhara s uchetom topograficheskikh osobennostey mestnosti, pogodnykh usloviy i mer po pozharotusheniyu. [Forecasting of fire hazardous situations and the velocity of forest fire spread given the terrain, weather conditions and fire-fighting measures.] Nauchnye i obrazovatel’nye problemy grazhdanskoy zashchity, 2015, no. 3, pp. 62-67 (in Russian).
4. Karlin, L.N., Andreeva, E.S. Printsipy upravleniya riskami anomal’nykh pogodnykh yavleniy. [Risk management principles of abnormal weather phenomena.] Strategicheskie riski chrezvychaynykh situatsiy: otsenka i prognoz: mat-ly VIII Vseros. Nauch.-prakt. konf. po problemam zashchity naseleniya i territoriy ot chrezvychaynykh situatsiy. Tsentr strategicheskikh issledovaniy grazhdanskoy zashchity MCHS Rossii. [Strategic risks of emergencies: assessment and forecast: Mat. of all-Russian VIII. Scientific.-pract. conf. on the problems of protection of population and territories from emergencies. The Centre for strategic research of civil protection of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia.] Tver, Triada, 2003, pp. 221-226 (in Russian).
5. Andreeva, E.S., Andreev, S.S. Pogodnye usloviya i prirodnye factory ikh provotsiruyushchie. [Weather anomalies and natural factors, that provoke them.] Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedeniy. Severo-Kavkazskiy region. Estestvennye nauki, 2006, no. S5, pp. 82-89 (in Russian).
6. Andreeva, E.S., Andreev, S.S. Geografiya i genezis opasnykh yavleniy pogody yuga Rossii. Ministerstvo obrazovaniya i nauki RF, Feder. agenstvo po obrazovaniyu, Rossiyskiy gos. gidrometeorologicheskiy un-t, fil. vg. Rostove-na-Donu. [Geography and genesis of dangerous weather phenomena of the South of Russia. Ministry of education and science of the Russian Federation, Feder. Agency on education, Russian state hydrometeorological University, Rostov-on-Don branch.] Rostov-on-Don, E. A. Turov ed., 2007, 93 p. (in Russian).
7. Andreeva, E.S. Veroyatnostno-geograficheskiy metod prognoza sil’nykh vetrov dlya ravnin yuga Rossii. [Probability-geographical method for forecasting of strong winds for the plains of the South of Russia.] Estestvennye i tekhnicheskie nauki, 2008, no. 4 (36), pp. 217-220 (in Russian).
8. Andreeva, E.S. Podkhody k upravleniyu riskami opasnykh yavleniy pogody. [Approaches to risk management of severe dangerous weather phenomena.] Izvestiya vysshikh uchebnykh zavedeniy. Severo-Kavkazskiy region. Estestvennye nauki, 2008, no. 4, pp. 112-116 (in Russian).
9. Andreeva, E.S. Kontseptsiya veroyatnostno-geograficheskogo prognozirovaniya opasnykh yavleniy pogody yuga Rossii: avtoref. dis. …d-ra geograf. nauk. [The concept of probability and geographic forecasting of dangerous weather phenomena of the South of Russia. Extended abstract of the Doctor of geogr. Sciences dissertation.] Saint Petersburg, 2008, 45 p. (in Russian).
10. Andreeva, E.S. ed. by Karlin, L.N. Opasnye yavleniya pogody yuga Rossii. [Dangerous weather phenomena of the South of Russia.] Saint Petersburg, 2013, 216 p. (in Russian).
11. Popova, E.S., Andreev, S.S. Veroyatnostno-geograficheskiy prognoz opasnykh yavleniy pogody. [Probability-geographical forecast of dangerous weather phenomena.] Fundamental’nye issledovaniya, 2014, no. 8-7, pp. 1622-1625 (in Russian).
12. Popova, E.S., Andreev, S.S. Development of basic method of probabilistic-geographical prediction of dangerous weather phenomena. Applied and Fundamental Studies: Proceedings of the 6rd International Academic Conference. Saint Louis, Publishing House Science and Innovation Center, 2014, pp. 46-50.
13. Andreyev, S.S., Popova, E.S. Global warming and anthropogenic factor. European Journal of Natural History, 2012, no. 4, pp. 27-28.
14. Adamyan, L.V., Malkov, I.V. Mediko-biologicheskie aspekty trudovoy deyatel’nosti pozharnykh. [Medico-biological aspects of firefighters work.] Tsentral’ny nauchny vestnik, 2017, vol. 2, no. 19 (36), p.3 (in Russian).
15. Sergeeva, G.A. Snezhny pokrov i ego dinamika za poslednie 50 let na territorii YUFO i SKFO. [Snow cover and its dynamics over the past 50 years on the territory of the Southern Federal District and North Caucasian federal District.] Stroitel’stvo-2015: sovremennye problem stroitel’stva: mat-ly mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf. [Construction-2015: modern problems of construction: Mat. of international. scientific.-pract. Conf.] Rostov-on-Don, Redaktsionno-izdatel’skiy tsentr RGSU, 2015, pp. 248-250 (in Russian).
16. Evstropov, V.M. Osnovnye napravleniya v izuchenii problem preduprezhdeniya CHS. [Main directions in the study of prevention of emergencies.] Stroitel’stvo-2015: sovremennye problem stroitel’stva: mat-ly mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf. [Construction-2015: modern problems of construction: Mat. of international. scientific.-pract. Conf.] Rostov-on-Don, Redaktsionno-izdatel’skiy tsentr RGSU, 2015, pp. 34-35 (in Russian).
17. Andreev, S.S., Popova, E.S. Kolebaniya srednegodovoy temperatury vozdukha po dannym g. Makhachkala/Uytash in 1882-2015 gg. [Fluctuations in annual air temperature according to the data from Makhachkala/Uytash from 1882 to 2015.] Uspekhi sovremennogo estestvoznaniya, 2017, no. 5, pp. 72-77 (in Russian).
Review
For citations:
Vashchenko I., Andreeva E., Budylski I. FORECASTING AND PREVENTION OF LANDSCAPE FIRES IN THE ROSTOV REGION. Safety of Technogenic and Natural Systems. 2017;(4):64-83. https://doi.org/10.23947/2541-9129-2017-4-64-83
Views:
168
Email this article 